Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Fed's Lockhard: Concern about economy and jobs are holding back growth



Dennis Lockhart isn't worried about inflation, but he understands that main street is.  He has long been a proponent of QE2, but it doesn't seem like many in the Fed are defending their actions.  He says that the fear of jobs and growth are limiting business spending and thus holding back the economy.  So, it is not the economy that sucks, it is our perception of the economy that sucks, and it is that perception that creates reality. 

Try fighting that twisted line of circular reasoning.  Via BB:

“Main Street is justifiably concerned today about the sustainability of the modest recovery that’s been under way now for six quarters, the persistence of high unemployment and the specter of inflation,” Lockhart said today in a speech in Anniston, Alabama.


Such concerns are “a heavy weight of apprehension holding back business investment, hiring, consumption, to some extent, and -- taken together -- the growth rate of the economy,” he said.

Lockhart said unemployment remains a top concern and job growth has been “frustratingly slow.”

“Improvement in the labor market has lagged broader economic recovery,” Lockhart said to the Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce. “I expect the unemployment rate to fall over the coming years, but I think it unlikely that jobs growth this year will be strong enough to generate quick improvement.”

Fed's Lacker suggests that the Fed should consider ending QE2 now that economic growth is picking up


Richmond Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Lacker thinks that the Federal Reserve should seriously reconsider its bond purchases now that the U.S. economy looks stronger. 

He also  expects the economy to expand close to 4.0% this year, lifted by robust consumer spending.

He isn't worried about inflation, but instead that the economy and money supply are overheating.  Via WSJ:

Both the Fed and private-sector economists expect the recovery, which started in June 2009, to gain momentum this year. Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity, rose at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 3.2% in the last quarter of 2010 as consumers spent more, exports rose and companies drew down inventories. In December, Americans increased their use of credit cards for the first time since August 2008, indicating they are more confident about the economy.


Lacker said the recent decline in the savings rate suggests that many households have made substantial progress toward repairing their balance sheets following the financial crisis.

"Given these stronger fundamentals, it seems quite reasonable to project robust growth in consumer spending this year," the Fed official said.

Sunday, August 8, 2010

450K in Surgery loans

Bariatric Surgery loans.  Yield will be up to 21%.  Almost all notes have cosigner backstop.  Excellent Credit profiles.

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

The Mark Hotel loans for sale totalling $350- $400 MM

Hotel mortgages for sale

Anglo Irish New York Corp. is quietly selling loans on three upscale hotels owned by for Alexico Group for a combined total of $350 million to $400 million, industry sources said.

It was unclear if Alexico had defaulted on one or more of the loans associated with the properties, which are The Mark Hotel on East 77th Street, The Alex Hotel on East 45th Street and The Flatotel on West 52nd Street. But sources familiar with the deal said the prospective buyers were only interested in the mortgages because they hoped to own eventually foreclose on Alexico.

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Low income housing near Sao Paulo airport

Investor Seeks invesment up to the sum of US$ 10,600,000 to fund 75% of the initial startup costs associated with the construction of low income housing units. 
The funds will be deployed for the purchase of the land, planning costs and legal fees representing approximately 11.7% of the proposals total sale value.  A 5% management fee based upon the initial investment will be levied over the project life.  The associated cost will be levied over the project life. 

Project Characteristics
  • 3072 units covering 170,00 m2
  • Investment time frame is 43 months with 1 project commencing per month for a total of 16 total projects. 
  • Total sale value of the combined projects is US$ 115,000,000

14,500 Acres of undeveloped land near Pueblo, Colorado

1. August 19, 2008 CB Richard Ellis Appraisal:
A. Hypothetically as Entitled $92,000,000
B. As Is ($3,000/Acre) $44,500,000

2. Option - Expired December 21, 2009
($2,100/Acre) $30,453,000

3. Current Sales Price ($1,250/Acre) $18,125,000
Terms: Down $9,125,000
Balance $9,000,000
(Payable over 6 years @ 4% interest)

4. Cash Price ($1,050/Acre) $15,225,000